Location PotentialEdinburgh
Model ranking · Bakery · Edinburgh

The 10 best streets to open a bakery in Edinburgh (2026 data)

Bakeries live on repeat local trade, so the model weighs residents, family context and morning flows heavily. These ten streets scored highest.

Format scored: A bakery and patisserie: £9 average ticket, mostly takeaway, trading mornings through early afternoon, seven days a week.

Computed 12 September 2026 over 249 Edinburgh street segments. Every figure carries its label: OBSERVED, AREA CONTEXT or MODELLED.

OBSERVED measured at the street or station · AREA CONTEXT residents or borough statistics around it · MODELLED transparent estimates we compute, with the rule shown. Nothing is presented as more precise than its source.

  1. 1

    Dalmeny station area

    City of Edinburgh · 8-15 km from centre · transport hub

    9,376 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £31 per person and modelled rent is £268 per m².

    Fit score 65/100MODELLED Est. revenue £10,493/mo (range £5,771-£16,789)MODELLED Weekly station flow 9,376OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £268/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 976AREA CONTEXT
  2. 2

    Bruntsfield & Morningside

    City of Edinburgh · 1.5-4 km from centre · high street

    63,951 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 21 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £32 per person and modelled rent is £288 per m².

    Fit score 62/100MODELLED Est. revenue £8,512/mo (range £4,681-£13,619)MODELLED Weekly station flow 63,951OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 21 (3 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £288/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 865AREA CONTEXT
  3. 3

    Inverkeithing station area

    Fife · 15+ km from centre · transport hub

    18,281 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £25 per person and modelled rent is £207 per m².

    Fit score 61/100MODELLED Est. revenue £7,948/mo (range £4,371-£12,717)MODELLED Weekly station flow 18,281OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £207/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 578AREA CONTEXT
  4. 4

    Curriehill station area

    City of Edinburgh · 8-15 km from centre · transport hub

    2,382 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £28 per person and modelled rent is £263 per m².

    Fit score 61/100MODELLED Est. revenue £28,630/mo (range £15,747-£45,809)MODELLED Weekly station flow 2,382OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £263/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 3,321AREA CONTEXT
  5. 5

    Haymarket station area

    City of Edinburgh · 1.5-4 km from centre · transport hub

    63,951 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 25 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £32 per person and modelled rent is £275 per m².

    Fit score 61/100MODELLED Est. revenue £6,768/mo (range £3,722-£10,828)MODELLED Weekly station flow 63,951OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 25 (2 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £275/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 922AREA CONTEXT
  6. 6

    Haymarket Terrace (Haymarket)

    City of Edinburgh · 1.5-4 km from centre · side street

    14,719 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 22 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £30 per person and modelled rent is £233 per m².

    Fit score 60/100MODELLED Est. revenue £4,266/mo (range £2,346-£6,826)MODELLED Weekly station flow 14,719MODELLED Competitors within 400 m 22 (2 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £233/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 922AREA CONTEXT
  7. 7

    St James Quarter

    City of Edinburgh · City centre · managed estate

    436,424 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 39 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £33 per person and modelled rent is £347 per m².

    Fit score 60/100MODELLED Est. revenue £18,788/mo (range £10,333-£30,060)MODELLED Weekly station flow 436,424OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 39 (10 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £347/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 770AREA CONTEXT
  8. 8

    St James Crescent (St James Quarter)

    City of Edinburgh · City centre · high street

    126,026 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 39 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £35 per person and modelled rent is £290 per m².

    Fit score 60/100MODELLED Est. revenue £7,159/mo (range £3,938-£11,455)MODELLED Weekly station flow 126,026MODELLED Competitors within 400 m 39 (10 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £290/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 770AREA CONTEXT
  9. 9

    Dalry Road (Sighthill/Gorgie)

    City of Edinburgh · 1.5-4 km from centre · high street

    26,393 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 26 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £31 per person and modelled rent is £284 per m².

    Fit score 60/100MODELLED Est. revenue £4,440/mo (range £2,442-£7,103)MODELLED Weekly station flow 26,393MODELLED Competitors within 400 m 26 (2 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £284/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 922AREA CONTEXT
  10. 10

    Leith Walk

    City of Edinburgh · City centre · high street

    436,424 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 23 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £31 per person and modelled rent is £295 per m².

    Fit score 60/100MODELLED Est. revenue £25,500/mo (range £14,025-£40,800)MODELLED Weekly station flow 436,424OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 23 (1 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £295/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 761AREA CONTEXT

How this ranking works

One fixed concept is scored against every one of the 249 Edinburgh street segments in the Location Potential dataset: station entries and exits (National Rail: ORR Estimates of Station Usage 2024-25 (annual; day-of-week split modelled)), recorded venues within the concept's competition radius (400 m to 1 km by type) from OpenStreetMap, Census 2022 (Scotland) residents for the local Data Zone, and rent context from the Scottish Assessors valuation roll. Scores and revenue figures are MODELLED planning estimates with fixed, published rules, not observed takings. The full method, sources and limits are on the Method page.

Use this ranking to shortlist, then verify with on-street counts, agent enquiries and a licensing check before signing anything. A specialist can help you.

This ranking is one fixed concept. Yours is different.

Change the ticket, hours, audience and priorities and the whole of Edinburgh re-ranks live.

Run this ranking with your own numbers →Speak to a geomarketing specialist →