Location PotentialBirmingham
Model ranking · Bakery · Birmingham

The 10 best streets to open a bakery in Birmingham (2026 data)

Bakeries live on repeat local trade, so the model weighs residents, family context and morning flows heavily. These ten streets scored highest.

Format scored: A bakery and patisserie: £9 average ticket, mostly takeaway, trading mornings through early afternoon, seven days a week.

Computed 12 September 2026 over 378 Birmingham street segments. Every figure carries its label: OBSERVED, AREA CONTEXT or MODELLED.

OBSERVED measured at the street or station · AREA CONTEXT residents or borough statistics around it · MODELLED transparent estimates we compute, with the rule shown. Nothing is presented as more precise than its source.

  1. 1

    Birmingham Moor Street station area

    Birmingham · City centre · transport hub

    137,093 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 28 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £23 per person and modelled rent is £193 per m².

    Fit score 65/100MODELLED Est. revenue £14,646/mo (range £8,055-£23,433)MODELLED Weekly station flow 137,093OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 28 (7 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £193/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,594AREA CONTEXT
  2. 2

    Solihull station area

    Solihull · 8-15 km from centre · transport hub

    36,413 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 2 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £30 per person and modelled rent is £220 per m².

    Fit score 64/100MODELLED Est. revenue £20,308/mo (range £11,169-£32,492)MODELLED Weekly station flow 36,413OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 2 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £220/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,799AREA CONTEXT
  3. 3

    Selly Oak station area

    Birmingham · 4-8 km from centre · transport hub

    44,280 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 4 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £25 per person and modelled rent is £190 per m².

    Fit score 64/100MODELLED Est. revenue £25,233/mo (range £13,878-£40,372)MODELLED Weekly station flow 44,280OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 4 (2 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £190/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,521AREA CONTEXT
  4. 4

    Fountain Business Park (Sandwell and Dudley)

    Sandwell · 8-15 km from centre · side street

    10,850 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £20 per person and modelled rent is £129 per m².

    Fit score 64/100MODELLED Est. revenue £20,565/mo (range £11,311-£32,904)MODELLED Weekly station flow 10,850MODELLED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £129/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,975AREA CONTEXT
  5. 5

    Sandwell and Dudley station area

    Sandwell · 8-15 km from centre · transport hub

    19,288 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £20 per person and modelled rent is £150 per m².

    Fit score 63/100MODELLED Est. revenue £23,543/mo (range £12,949-£37,668)MODELLED Weekly station flow 19,288OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £150/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,975AREA CONTEXT
  6. 6

    Smethwick Galton Bridge station area

    Sandwell · 4-8 km from centre · transport hub

    13,379 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £19 per person and modelled rent is £149 per m².

    Fit score 63/100MODELLED Est. revenue £22,639/mo (range £12,451-£36,222)MODELLED Weekly station flow 13,379OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £149/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,269AREA CONTEXT
  7. 7

    Small Heath station area

    Birmingham · 1.5-4 km from centre · transport hub

    4,305 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £20 per person and modelled rent is £184 per m².

    Fit score 62/100MODELLED Est. revenue £24,678/mo (range £13,573-£39,485)MODELLED Weekly station flow 4,305OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £184/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,836AREA CONTEXT
  8. 8

    Smethwick Rolfe Street station area

    Sandwell · 4-8 km from centre · transport hub

    7,748 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £19 per person and modelled rent is £148 per m².

    Fit score 62/100MODELLED Est. revenue £20,823/mo (range £11,453-£33,317)MODELLED Weekly station flow 7,748OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £148/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,281AREA CONTEXT
  9. 9

    Erdington station area

    Birmingham · 4-8 km from centre · transport hub

    9,232 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £23 per person and modelled rent is £186 per m².

    Fit score 62/100MODELLED Est. revenue £18,636/mo (range £10,250-£29,818)MODELLED Weekly station flow 9,232OBSERVED Competitors within 400 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £186/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,553AREA CONTEXT
  10. 10

    The Bullring (Birmingham Moor Street)

    Birmingham · City centre · high street

    59,013 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 54 recorded bakeries competing within 400 m. Typical spend nearby is £25 per person and modelled rent is £200 per m².

    Fit score 61/100MODELLED Est. revenue £5,980/mo (range £3,289-£9,567)MODELLED Weekly station flow 59,013MODELLED Competitors within 400 m 54 (17 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £200/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,594AREA CONTEXT

How this ranking works

One fixed concept is scored against every one of the 378 Birmingham street segments in the Location Potential dataset: station entries and exits (National Rail: ORR Estimates of Station Usage 2024-25 (annual; day-of-week split modelled)), recorded venues within the concept's competition radius (400 m to 1 km by type) from OpenStreetMap, Census 2021 residents for the local LSOA, business crime from data.police.uk, and rent context from Valuation Office Agency rateable values. Scores and revenue figures are MODELLED planning estimates with fixed, published rules, not observed takings. The full method, sources and limits are on the Method page.

Use this ranking to shortlist, then verify with on-street counts, agent enquiries and a licensing check before signing anything. A specialist can help you.

This ranking is one fixed concept. Yours is different.

Change the ticket, hours, audience and priorities and the whole of Birmingham re-ranks live.

Run this ranking with your own numbers →Speak to a geomarketing specialist →