London Location Potential
Model ranking · Bakery

The 10 best streets to open a bakery in London (2026 data)

Bakeries live on repeat local trade, so the model weighs residents, family context and morning flows heavily. These ten streets scored highest.

Format scored: A bakery and patisserie: £9 average ticket, mostly takeaway, trading mornings through early afternoon, seven days a week.

Computed 11 September 2026 over 2,480 London street segments. Every figure carries its label: OBSERVED, AREA CONTEXT or MODELLED.

  1. 1

    Sloane Street (Brompton Road, Knightsbridge)

    Kensington and Chelsea · Zone 1 · high street

    60,780 weekly station entries and exits (modelled from the parent catchment) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakerys competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £47 per person and modelled rent is £619 per m².

    Fit score 70/100MODELLED Est. revenue £29,169/mo (range £16,043-£46,671)MODELLED Weekly station flow 60,780MODELLED Competitors within 250 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £619/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,568AREA CONTEXT
  2. 2

    Ladywell station area

    Lewisham · Zone 3 · transport hub

    24,068 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £30 per person and modelled rent is £227 per m².

    Fit score 70/100MODELLED Est. revenue £23,460/mo (range £12,903-£37,537)MODELLED Weekly station flow 24,068OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £227/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,205AREA CONTEXT
  3. 3

    Manor Park station area

    Newham · Zone 4 · transport hub

    88,893 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £28 per person and modelled rent is £374 per m².

    Fit score 69/100MODELLED Est. revenue £27,834/mo (range £15,309-£44,534)MODELLED Weekly station flow 88,893OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £374/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,257AREA CONTEXT
  4. 4

    Maze Hill station area

    Greenwich · Zone 3 · transport hub

    26,811 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £33 per person and modelled rent is £243 per m².

    Fit score 69/100MODELLED Est. revenue £24,874/mo (range £13,681-£39,798)MODELLED Weekly station flow 26,811OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £243/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,985AREA CONTEXT
  5. 5

    Selhurst station area

    Croydon · Zone 4 · transport hub

    23,359 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £26 per person and modelled rent is £225 per m².

    Fit score 69/100MODELLED Est. revenue £19,903/mo (range £10,947-£31,845)MODELLED Weekly station flow 23,359OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £225/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,006AREA CONTEXT
  6. 6

    Penge East station area

    Bromley · Zone 4 · transport hub

    23,697 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £32 per person and modelled rent is £256 per m².

    Fit score 68/100MODELLED Est. revenue £18,991/mo (range £10,445-£30,386)MODELLED Weekly station flow 23,697OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £256/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,846AREA CONTEXT
  7. 7

    Lee station area

    Lewisham · Zone 2 · transport hub

    28,436 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £29 per person and modelled rent is £227 per m².

    Fit score 68/100MODELLED Est. revenue £18,838/mo (range £10,361-£30,141)MODELLED Weekly station flow 28,436OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £227/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,752AREA CONTEXT
  8. 8

    Battersea Park Road

    Wandsworth · Zone 2 · high street

    201,772 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakerys competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £30 per person and modelled rent is £356 per m².

    Fit score 68/100MODELLED Est. revenue £34,377/mo (range £18,908-£55,004)MODELLED Weekly station flow 201,772OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £356/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 2,181AREA CONTEXT
  9. 9

    Mile End Road

    Tower Hamlets · Zone 2 · high street

    338,030 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 0 recorded bakerys competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £33 per person and modelled rent is £469 per m².

    Fit score 68/100MODELLED Est. revenue £47,151/mo (range £25,933-£75,441)MODELLED Weekly station flow 338,030OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 0 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £469/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 4,274AREA CONTEXT
  10. 10

    Ravensbourne station area

    Bromley · Zone 4 · transport hub

    4,511 weekly station entries and exits (entries + exits at named stations) pass the pitch, with 1 recorded bakery competing within 250 m. Typical spend nearby is £31 per person and modelled rent is £250 per m².

    Fit score 68/100MODELLED Est. revenue £15,513/mo (range £8,532-£24,821)MODELLED Weekly station flow 4,511OBSERVED Competitors within 250 m 1 (0 chain)OBSERVED Est. rent £250/m²/yrMODELLED Residents nearby 1,848AREA CONTEXT

How this ranking works

One fixed concept is scored against every one of the 2,480 London street segments in the Location Potential dataset: station entries and exits from TfL Annual Station Counts 2025 (National Rail: ORR 2024-25), recorded venues within 250 m from OpenStreetMap, Census 2021 residents for the local LSOA, business crime from data.police.uk, and rent context from Valuation Office Agency rateable values. Scores and revenue figures are MODELLED planning estimates with fixed, published rules, not observed takings. The full method, sources and limits are on the Method page.

Use this ranking to shortlist, then verify with on-street counts, agent enquiries and a licensing check before signing a lease.

This ranking is one fixed concept. Yours is different.

Change the ticket, hours, audience and priorities and the whole of London re-ranks live.